They say that baseball players are the only profession that rewards the least amount of failure. 3 out 10 times up to bat with a hit is a successful, if not hall of fame career. Do weatherman have a hall of fame? what would the lack of success percentages be for entry into this hall? 1 right answer in a career? maybe if you make a good guess, and get close to the right forecast a couple times you get to be coach! My guess is it doesn’t snow at all. Am I a meteorologist now? where can I pick up my check… anyhow…
It’s just that our livelihood is very dependant on the weather, so we tend to pay close attention to the ‘best guess’ profession. Anyone have a Ouija board I can borrow?
4 comments:
I have noted your weather guesscast posts of this week and feel a need to explain just HOW hese forward guesses are derived at. I know something about weather as I have been caught out in it many times in my lifetime. Weather persons, gather each day on a patio, deck, rooftop or by secret chat room and vote. There must be 10 of them to be accurate. The guess resluts in a 10-100% chance of any weather event, however! They to date have not figured out if A- 20% chance of snow means that 20% of the forecast area will see snow, B- 1 in 20 of the places will see snow, C- all of the area will be covered by 20% of snow OR...only two of them showed up for the meeting. Thus the accuracy may be 100% correct for those two it is the other 80% that gets us covered in the white stuff, rain, tornado or a 20' tide surge.
See....that is why I don't go outside. Remember they are very good at telling you what the weather was yesterday...we are just living too far ahead of the technology.
I may have just lost all of my weather forecaster friends but hey, I have plenty of company.
Weather forecasters have friends?
The problem seems to be in your expectations. You are expecting a forecast when you are being given a horoscope...
...that makes me feel WAY better Happy Dan...
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